| CommStock Israel Investor Insights Newsletter
Monday, November 10, 2008
1) Layoffs hit every corner Eight companies spanning several different
industries announce nearly 15,000 layoffs in first week of
November.
By Aaron Smith, CNNMoney.com staff writer
Last Updated: November 8, 2008: 11:40 AM ET
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The first week of November has been
brutal for the job market, with nearly 15,000 announced job cuts
from a slew of companies across multiple industries.
Eight companies announced job cuts this week as a means
of cost-cutting during desperate times, representing industries
as widespread as retail, finance, leisure, pharmaceutical and toy
and automobile manufacturing.
On Friday, the Labor Department reported that the U.S.
economy sloughed nearly
1.2 million jobs through October. Just in the month of October,
the economy lost 240,000 jobs, raising the unemployment rate to
6.5%.
"We're losing jobs just about everywhere," said Robert
Brusca, chief economist and Fact and Opinion Economics. "People
are slowing their spending on everything. Now, even wealthier people
are reluctant to spend money."
Circuit City, an electronics retailer based in Richmond,
Va., kicked off the week by announcing on Monday that it was reducing
its domestic workforce by 17%. The company would not comment on
the number of employees that would be affected, but according to
a recent 10K filing, Circuit City employs about 43,000 people in
the U.S. That would mean roughly 7,300 positions are being lost,
the biggest of the cuts in November so far.
On Tuesday,
the Connecticut-based insurer Hartford Financial reported 500 cuts.
The following day, the British drug company
GlaxoSmithKline said it would cut 1,000 sales positions.
Thursday was particularly
gloomy, with four companies announcing cuts: 1,300
from Fidelity Investments of Boston, 1,000 from toy maker
Mattel, based in El Segundo, Calif., 375 from Borgata Hotel Casino
of Atlantic City, N.J., and 850 from La-Z-Boy, a furniture producer
and retailer based in Monroe, Mich.
Ford Motor was the most recent to announce job cuts,
with 2,600
cuts announced on Friday. The battered auto maker said it was
trying to hold on to its dwindling cash reserves as it reported
a $3 billion operating loss for the third quarter.
Most of the cuts are slated for the U.S., though Mattel
said its job cuts will affect its global workforce.
"You have essentially every sector, every industry, furloughing
workers, so it's going to get bad - considerably worse - before
it gets better," said Richard Yamarone, director of economic research
at Argus Research. "If the automotive sector falls, and it's on
the ledge, then you could very easily have double-digit employment."
Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of the Economic
Cycle Research Institute, said that Hartford and Fidelity are getting
squeezed by the plunging value of the stock markets. But he said
the other companies - and even the drugmaker GlaxoSmithKline -
are getting stifled by a consumer lock-down on any type of spending
that is not totally necessary.
"You don't have to buy a La-Z-Boy today, but you might
have to go to the doctor, you have to eat, and you have to pay
rent," said Achuthan. "[The companies] are seeing that the consumer
has been stunned or is frozen and will not make any purchases that
he will not absolutely have to make."
As for Glaxo, Achutan said that many Americans get their
health insurance through their jobs, and when they lose their jobs,
it affects the drugmakers. He said newly-uninsured people are spending
their money on food and housing, instead of drugs.
Lawrence Mishel, president of the Economic Policy Institute,
dismissed any notion that the job market would pick up in 2009,
given the omnipresent nature of the layoffs, and the fact that
they stem from a "credit freeze on top of a recession caused by
a housing meltdown."
"The fact is that we're going to have very high unemployment
for several years," said Mishel.
2) Commentary by David Zwebner, CEO of CommStock
Trading
U.S. Economy
The U.S. Labor Department said that the unemployment rate increased
from 6.1% to 6.5% in October, the highest in fourteen years. Non-farm
payrolls declined 240,000 in October, a bigger loss than was expected.
The December S&P 500 closed up 31.70 at 936.20.
And the bad news wasn't just in October. The Labor Department
also revised the count of September's non-farm payrolls from a
loss of 159,000 to a loss of 284,000. So far in 2008, there has
been a net loss of 1.18 million jobs.
The U.S. Commerce Department said that wholesale sales
were down 1.5% in September while inventories were down .1%.
The National Association of Realtors said that the pending
home sales index was down 4.6% in September, weaker than expected.
From a year ago, the index was up 1.6%. January lumber was up .30
at $201.60.
General Motors said today that it lost $2.5 billion
in the third quarter and warned that, if it doesn't get government
help soon, it will likely run out of funds sometime next year.
Grains and Cotton
Here we go - the western half of the Dakotas got hit with its first
blizzard of the season. Fortunately, the storm is said to be
weakening as it moves eastward. Also, there is a line of rain
from Mississippi to Michigan that is moving eastward.
According to the USDA's latest crop progress report,
only 11% and 33% of the corn crops in North and South Dakota were
harvested as of Sunday so there may be problems getting the crops
in this year. December corn was down 2.5 cents at $3.755.
December cotton fell .91 to a new contract low of 42.07,
hurt by the slowing outlook for global demand.
Orange juice
Hurricane Paloma could be a category two storm when it hits the
Cayman Islands tonight and heads toward Cuba this weekend. So
far, the storm is expected to stay east of Florida. March orange
juice ended up 1.65 cents at 86.55.
Currencies
Statistics Canada said that the unemployment rate increased from
6.1% to 6.2% in October with a net gain of 9,500 jobs. So far
in 2008, Canada has seen an increase of 203,000 jobs. The December
Canadian dollar finished down a tick at 84.09.
The Bank of Korea reduced its interest rate from 4.25%
to 4.00%, the third reduction in the past month.
David Zwebner, CEO
CommStock Trading Ltd.
Tel: +972-(0)2 624-4963
Fax: +972-(0)2 624-4876
www.ecommstock.com
3) A Fan of Forex?
Interested in reading perspectives and analyses on the
Forex market? In learning what factors affect the Forex market
every week and what to be on the lookout for? In getting trade
recommendations? Email mona@ecommstock.com to
get your copy of a weekly Forex report.
4) Closing Prices for Friday, November
7, 2008
Amidex: Amidex35 (Class No Load Shares),
$10.38; Index, 1387.57, Daily Change, 2.04%; “A” Shares NAV, $8.00.
Global Asset Management: Capital
Appreciation, $189.32; Composite Absolute Return, $786.87; Diversity,
$668.12; GAMCO, $640.14; Interest Trend, $157.73; Trading IV-US$
Class, $142.78; US$ Special Bond Fund, $300.62.
Invesco: Asian Equity Core, $2.81; Bond, $24.64;
Emerging Markets Bond, $14.47; European Bond, EUR 4.3223;
Gilt, GBP 12.18; Global High Income, $8.79; Japanese
Equity Core, $1.090; UK Equity, GBP 4.05.
JPMorgan Fleming: JF Eastern Smaller
Co., $54.29; JF Japan, JPY 10,559; JF Japan Equity, $9.48;
JF Japan OTC, JPY 701; JF Japan Smaller Companies, JPY
25,760; JF Japan Technology, JPY 28,777; JF Korea, $20.33;
Pacific Securities, $128.39; Pacific Smaller Companies
$13.59; Global Bond & Currency, $20.45;
JF America, $32.23; JF Europe, $27.05; JF Germany, EUR
14.90; JF Global Equity, $26.95.
PCP: North America, $10.12; Europe,
$13.46; Emerging Markets, $12.84; Balanced, $7.10; Aggressive,
$5.83.
Platinum (updated once a month – September 2008
Prices): All Weather, $130.87; Equity Plus, $88.83;
Prot. Equity Plus, $79.13; Prot. Income Plus, $84.92;
Cap. Prot. Income Plus A, $88.20.
Scottish Provident: Adventurous 1,
GBP 2.171; Balanced 1, GBP 1.866; USD Adventurous 1, $.494;
USD Balanced 1, $1.656; USD Cautious 1, $1.714; For
Preference: Baring GUF Eastern Europe, $64.06;
Fidelity Funds International, $22.450; Invesco Asian
Equity Core, $2.770.
CommStock Trading Ltd
PO Box 7777
Jerusalem 91077
Tel: +972-2-6244963
Fax: +972-2-625 9515
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