english עברית

New York

London

Hong Kong

Tel Aviv

Local

home > commentaries > weekly strategy > 04/05/2009

CommStock Israel Investor Insights Newsletter
Monday, April 20th, 2009

*****Our Altshuler Shaham (F6) CommStock Commodity leveraged Fund 

is up 14.76 % since January 2009****

1) Dollar mixed against rivals

US currency and yen fall as improved economic data bolsters risk appetite.

Last Updated: May 1, 2009: 6:58 PM ET

NEW YORK (Reuters) -- The U.S. dollar and yen fell Friday as improving risk appetite sparked by better-than-expected U.S. economic data pared demand for both currencies as a refuge against a global slowdown.

The dollar fell for a fourth straight session versus the euro, while the yen dropped to a two-week low against both the euro and dollar, with volumes thin given the May Day holiday in Europe. Higher-yielding currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars were also some of the biggest movers on the day, moving in tandem with higher U.S. stocks.

Reports Friday reinforced the view that the worst of the recession may have passed, making investors more comfortable with risk-taking. Data showed U.S. consumers felt more upbeat about the economy in April, while a closely watched gauge of manufacturing suggested the sector was gradually emerging out recession.

The numbers were consistent with the Federal Reserve's less bleak outlook on the U.S. economy on Wednesday.

"Risk appetite is definitely coming back and the data this morning was phenomenal," said Melvin Harris, a market analyst at Advanced Currency Markets in New York.

"The reports are supportive factors to truly build the case that while things are not completely better yet, we are moving in a positive direction. Economic fundamentals will become more important in the next couple of months."

In early afternoon trading, the euro rose 0.3% against the dollar to $1.3258 and touched a two-week high against the yen at ¥132.33. The euro last traded at 131.90, up 1.2% from late on Thursday.

The ICE Futures' dollar index, a measure of the greenback's value versus six major currencies, fell 0.3% to 84.591 .

The dollar, however, gained 0.9% against the yen to ¥99.46, having hit a two-week high around ¥99.58, according to Reuters data.

The Australian dollar rose 0.7% against the U.S. dollar to US$0.7304 . The New Zealand dollar also climbed 0.8% against the greenback to US$0.5693, while the Canadian dollar was also firmer, with the U.S. dollar down 0.7% at C$1.1850.

Investors were also encouraged by data overnight showing Chinese manufacturing gained further momentum in April, as well as by Friday's better-than-expected UK manufacturing survey.

"The antipodean currencies are amongst the top performers bolstered in part by encouraging PMI data out of China and in part by relatively high yields as market participants place money in (those) currencies over the holiday period," said Brown Brothers Harriman in a note to clients.

Optimism was further stoked in the United States after St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday unemployment rates in the United States will likely crest above 9%, but not reach levels set in the early 1980s.

2) Commentary by David Zwebner, CEO of CommStock Trading

There will not be an update from Dave Zwebner this week. Yitzhak Zwebner, Dave's father passed away on Friday.

He is sitting shiva.

"May G-d comfort him among all mourners of Zion and Jerusalem"

Weekly Strategy
Monday, July 13, 2009  
Monday, July 06, 2009  
Monday, June 29, 2009  
Monday, June 22, 2009  
Monday, June 15, 2009  
Monday, June 08, 2009  
Monday, June 01, 2009  
Monday, May 25, 2009  
Monday, May 18, 2009  
Monday, May 11, 2009  
Monday, May 04, 2009  
Monday, April 27, 2009  
Monday, April 20, 2009  
Monday, March 23, 2009  
Monday, March 23, 2009  
Monday, March 23, 2009  
Monday, March 16, 2009  
Monday, March 09, 2009  
Monday, March 02, 2009  
Monday, February 23, 2009  
Monday, February 16, 2009  
Monday, February 02, 2009  
Monday, January 26, 2009  
Sunday, January 18, 2009  
Monday, January 12, 2009  
Monday, December 29, 2008  
Monday, December 22, 2008  
Sunday, December 14, 2008  
Monday, December 01, 2008  
Monday, November 24, 2008  
Monday, November 17, 2008  
Monday, November 10, 2008  
Monday, November 03, 2008  
Monday, October 27, 2008  
Sunday, October 12, 2008  
Monday, October 06, 2008  
Sunday, September 28, 2008  
Monday, September 22, 2008  
Monday, September 01, 2008  
Monday, August 25, 2008  
Monday, August 18, 2008  
Monday, August 11, 2008  
Monday, August 04, 2008  
Monday, July 28, 2008  
Monday, July 21, 2008  
Monday, July 14, 2008  
Monday, July 07, 2008  
Tuesday, June 24, 2008  
Tuesday, June 10, 2008  
Monday, June 02, 2008  
Monday, May 26, 2008  
Monday, May 19, 2008  
  Additional Strategies
home | about us | faq | commentaries | products | contact us | site map
© 2003 CommStock Trading Ltd. All rights reserved:
Disclaimer: Futures and commodities trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. Past results are not indicative of future results
site by atarim2000.com.